xJawn NHL expected goals

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ANA 0 – 10 SJS

Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

Final · Sep 24, 2026
2026-27 · preseason

Exhibition game. Split squads and tryouts, an audition rather than a game plan, and one game of anything is noise. None of it feeds the site's ratings, season tables or game predictions — preseason is kept out of every model here by construction.

On the ice
Adjusts with rink filters

Strength and score are read from ANA's side, the same minutes at both ends: PP = ANA power play · PK = SJS power play · Leading = ANA ahead · ST = each club's own power play.

ANA attacks◀ all strengths
SJS attacksall strengths ▶
× goal• on net ◦ missed· blocked hover any attempt for the shooter, its xG and everything the model saw
How to read this map

One rink, both teams: ANA attacks the left net, SJS the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG. The controls switch the surface (xG heatmap ↔ vs league) and the markers; vs league compares this game against a typical NHL team-game under the same filter (2026-27 regular season, 283 games), so a 5v5 view is measured against league 5v5.

A strength or score filter is read from ANA's side and mirrored for SJS: “ANA PP” shows ANA's power-play attempts on the left and SJS's shorthanded attempts on the right — the same minutes of the game at both ends. Empty-net attempts are excluded unless you include them. The Player control narrows the map and the rows beneath it to the attempts by either club while one player was on the ice (for a goalie, while he was in net); his own attempts wear a blue ring. vs league switches off while a player is picked — the league baseline is a whole team-game, which one player's slice is not. Hover any attempt for the shooter, the result, its xG, and the inputs behind it: clock, strength, score, shot type, distance, angle, handedness, rush/rebound, what happened just before, and the goalie or the blocker.

What each side produced

all strengths · this game
ANA SJS
bars share a scale within each row · the longer bar is the row's leader
Goalson the map
0 10
Expected goals
1.67 3.85
xG%share of xG
30% 70%
High-dangerattempts ≥ 0.20 xG
1 7
Shots on goal
20 31
Attempts
43 55
xG by period · whole game 1st0.5–2.72nd0.3–0.63rd0.9–0.6

The Sharks beat the Ducks 10–0 at home, and the chances agreed: SJS out-created ANA 3.9–1.7 in expected goals. SJS scored 10 on 3.9 expected.

Counts come from the shot table behind the map: empty-net attempts and the shootout are excluded, so the goals here can trail the official final by an empty-netter or the shootout's deciding goal. Same numbers as the post-game cards.

As the game went

all situations · this game
cumulative ANA − SJS xG · bands = power plays · lines = goals
1ST2ND3RD+1−1+2−2+3−3ANA AHEAD ▲SJS AHEAD ▼
How to read this

One line: cumulative ANA minus SJS expected goals. Above zero ANA is ahead on chances, below zero SJS is. Shaded bands are power plays in the side's colour; vertical lines are goals.

Goals

this game
xG = the chance, before it went in
TeamScorerPeriodTimexG
SJSMason Marchment 1st3:55 0.40
SJSIvar Stenberg 1st5:29 0.24
SJSIgor Chernyshov 1st9:29 0.21
SJSMichael Misa 1st11:33 0.17
SJSIgor Chernyshov 1st15:45 0.04
SJSIvar Stenberg 2nd3:04 0.10
SJSMason Marchment 2nd12:57 0.25
SJSBrett Leason 3rd7:54 PP 0.10
SJSIvar Stenberg 3rd16:57 PP 0.05
SJSFilip Bystedt 3rd17:23 0.10
Who

Skaters

all · whole game · this game
on-ice xG for and against, his own attempts, the net
strength
period
sort
How to read this

Every skater: on-ice xG against to the left of zero, for to the right, his own attempts as the solid bar, a hash at the net. The slim track under the name is ice time. The chart opens sorted by net, best first; pick another key to re-order it, and click the same key again to flip it. A name opens the player's page. Pick a period and every bar re-lays for that period alone on the same scale as the whole game, so the three periods add up to it; a skater who did not play in it fades to the bottom.

ANA
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.50Judd CaulfieldF19:09+0.28Nathan GaucherF8:51-0.31Sean FarrellF10:30-0.32Corey SchuenemanD21:39-0.35Anton WahlbergF16:50-0.38Lucas PetterssonF12:55-0.44Nikita KlepovF15:46-0.46Cruz LuciusF14:05-0.59Sam ColangeloF12:08-0.62Roger McQueenF18:47-0.63Jeff MalottF11:31-0.64Stian SolbergD18:51-0.67Nico MyatovicF21:24-0.77Travis MitchellD19:22-0.77James HamblinF16:40-0.81Jett WooD11:20-0.81Nick JensenD22:03-1.00Tyson HindsD18:44-1.33
0.50.5111.51.50Judd CaulfieldF12:49-0.17Nathan GaucherF7:26-0.31Travis MitchellD13:25-0.35Sean FarrellF9:25-0.44Anton WahlbergF11:15-0.51Lucas PetterssonF11:14-0.56Nikita KlepovF12:16-0.59Stian SolbergD11:08-0.60Jeff MalottF9:00-0.64Roger McQueenF14:31-0.65Corey SchuenemanD13:22-0.69Cruz LuciusF10:47-0.71Nico MyatovicF12:59-0.80Jett WooD11:20-0.81James HamblinF9:09-0.94Nick JensenD17:59-1.01Sam ColangeloF6:31-1.07Tyson HindsD17:04-1.45
0.250.250.50.50Nico MyatovicF4:41+0.45Corey SchuenemanD4:39+0.45Sam ColangeloF4:37+0.44Judd CaulfieldF4:29+0.44James HamblinF4:21+0.44Roger McQueenF3:21+0.13Nikita KlepovF3:21+0.13Stian SolbergD3:33+0.13Cruz LuciusF3:18+0.13Anton WahlbergF3:02+0.13Nick JensenD0:01+0.01Jeff MalottF0:14+0.00Nathan GaucherF0:13+0.00Sean FarrellF0:05+0.00Travis MitchellD0:04+0.00Tyson HindsD0:01+0.00
0.250.250.50.50Anton WahlbergF2:33+0.00Jeff MalottF2:17+0.00Judd CaulfieldF1:51+0.00Tyson HindsD0:36+0.00Nathan GaucherF0:30+0.00Lucas PetterssonF0:23+0.00Nikita KlepovF0:02+0.00Corey SchuenemanD3:31-0.11Nick JensenD2:52-0.11Roger McQueenF0:48-0.11Stian SolbergD3:13-0.20James HamblinF3:03-0.31Travis MitchellD4:57-0.42Nico MyatovicF3:37-0.42
SJS
against for own net ice time
0.50.5111.51.5220Macklin CelebriniF10:45+1.80Will SmithF14:10+1.59Mason MarchmentF11:48+1.38Eric PohlkampD18:21+1.34Ivar StenbergF15:23+1.07Sam DickinsonD19:44+0.91Nolan AllanD17:52+0.76Luca CagnoniD19:17+0.56Jimmy HuntingtonF15:17+0.53Michael MisaF15:56+0.51Darnell NurseD19:44+0.42Kiefer SherwoodF18:05+0.34Filip BystedtF17:19+0.29Igor ChernyshovF14:34+0.21Michael KesselringD19:47+0.10Brett LeasonF14:19+0.02Barclay GoodrowF13:08-0.08Ty DellandreaF14:31-0.14
0.50.5111.51.5220Macklin CelebriniF8:06+1.80Will SmithF9:43+1.77Mason MarchmentF9:12+1.38Sam DickinsonD15:33+1.18Nolan AllanD14:05+1.12Eric PohlkampD13:36+1.12Ivar StenbergF10:28+0.81Luca CagnoniD15:25+0.68Darnell NurseD14:41+0.42Michael KesselringD12:19+0.39Jimmy HuntingtonF11:55+0.38Kiefer SherwoodF10:07+0.31Michael MisaF11:05+0.30Igor ChernyshovF11:43+0.21Filip BystedtF11:13+0.20Ty DellandreaF10:35+0.19Barclay GoodrowF10:38+0.04Brett LeasonF11:16+0.01
0.250.250.50.50Filip BystedtF4:38+0.31Ivar StenbergF3:38+0.27Kiefer SherwoodF4:20+0.26Michael MisaF3:35+0.22Eric PohlkampD3:23+0.22Darnell NurseD1:28+0.20Jimmy HuntingtonF1:19+0.20Brett LeasonF0:30+0.15Michael KesselringD1:09+0.15Barclay GoodrowF0:15+0.10Luca CagnoniD2:52+0.00Will SmithF2:42+0.00Macklin CelebriniF2:38+0.00Mason MarchmentF2:36+0.00Igor ChernyshovF2:36+0.00Ty DellandreaF0:06+0.00
0.250.250.50.50Eric PohlkampD1:22+0.00Igor ChernyshovF0:15+0.00Macklin CelebriniF0:01+0.00Ivar StenbergF0:12-0.01Michael MisaF0:09-0.01Jimmy HuntingtonF1:40-0.05Filip BystedtF0:51-0.10Kiefer SherwoodF2:29-0.11Brett LeasonF2:33-0.14Will SmithF1:45-0.19Darnell NurseD2:28-0.20Barclay GoodrowF2:15-0.22Sam DickinsonD3:25-0.27Michael KesselringD4:58-0.32Ty DellandreaF3:50-0.34Nolan AllanD3:47-0.36

Lines & pairs

all · whole game · this game
most-used units · when they played · on-ice xG lines are by strength · 5v5 shown
strength
period
sort
How to read this

The units that actually played together most at the chosen strength — forward lines and defence pairs at 5v5, the whole group on the ice on the power play or the kill — each with when it was on the ice at that strength across the game clock (period and power-play bands behind the strip) and on-ice xG against / for while the whole unit was out, at that strength only. Sorted by time together; pick another key to re-order, and a name opens the player's page. Pick a period and the strip veils the rest of the game while the bars re-lay for that period alone, on the whole game's scale.

ANA
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF
SJS
on ice power play penalty kill xGA xGF

Matchups

5v5 · this game
every skater against every skater, goalies first · hover a cell
order
ANA won the chances SJS won them full colour = a margin of 0.75 xG or more taller = more time together (full height at 12:00) on together, dead even never on together G = goalie: his row or column is each skater against the whole other team
NedeljkovicHuntingtonBystedtChernyshovSherwoodMisaStenbergGoodrowDellandreaLeasonMarchmentSmithCelebriniCagnoniDickinsonAllanPohlkampNurseKesselringGL1L2L3L4D1D2D3GL1L2L3L4D1D2D3BrossoitHussoFarrellLuciusPetterssonMyatovicMcQueenKlepovCaulfieldGaucherWahlbergHamblinColangeloMalottJensenHindsSchuenemanSolbergWooMitchell
How to read this

Rows are ANA's skaters, columns SJS's, grouped the way they played: forward lines (L1 = the line that played together most), then defence pairs. Each cell covers the five-on-five time those two players shared the ice. Its colour is the club that out-chanced the other in that time — expected goals for minus against — and the stronger the colour, the bigger the margin. Each cell is also raised: the taller the block, the longer the two shared the ice, up to full height at 12:00 of five-on-five time. A grey cell means they met and it came out even; an open, flat one means they never met at five-on-five.

The first row and column are the goalies. A goalie is in net for every five-on-five second, so a skater's cell against the other side's goalie is all of that skater's five-on-five time against that team — the rest of his row or column added up — and the corner where the two goalies meet is the game's five-on-five. Those cells cover far more time than any pair, so they reach full colour sooner and stand at full height, a wall along each edge of the grid. A goalie change adds a second goalie row or column, each covering his own time.

Linemates share the ice, so a line against a line reads as a block. The margin is a total, not a rate: a long matchup has room to build a big gap and a thirty-second one does not — which is what the height is there to show: a tall, strong cell is the game's story; a short, strong one is a moment. Hover (or tap) any cell for the exact time together, the xG each way, attempts and goals. One game — a strong cell is what happened, not what would happen again.