xJawn NHL expected goals

← Players

NSH Justus Annunen

G · 2025-26 · regular season · 28 GP · 1,188 min 5v5 TOI

On-ice xGF% 5v5
47.3%(27th)
On-ice GF / GA 5v5
50 / 45
GA / xGA 5v5
45 / 52.9
Saving 5v5
+7.9
Saving rating modeled
+0.04(80th)

On-ice xG shot map

How to read this map

One rink, both ends while Justus Annunen is on the ice: what the team generates on the left, what it concedes on the right. Every attempt is a Gaussian bump of height = its model xG, summed per 60 minutes of ice time (a player's exposure is time, not games). The controls switch the surface (xG heatmapvs league, the league baseline per team-hour at the same strength) and the markers: × goal · on net · missed · small blocked.

The page opens at 5v5; empty-net attempts are excluded throughout. The league-spread histograms and the xGF% percentile rank against the other goalies over the display floor at the selected strength — a non-strength filter (rush, period, …) moves the player's markers but keeps that strength's spread as the backdrop. On-ice membership comes from the shift charts; attempts without usable shift coverage are absent from both ends. Blocked-shot membership cannot be cross-checked against the play-by-play, so treat blocked-marker detail as softer than the rest.

on-ice for◀ 5v5 offense
on-ice against5v5 defense ▶
Goals52.6%50
47.4%45
xG47.3%47.4
52.7%52.9
xG/6047.3%2.39
52.7%2.67
Shots48.0%509
52.0%552
Attempts50.5%1,162
49.5%1,137

Rolling on-ice xGF%

Strength splits

On-ice rates are per 60 minutes at that strength (real time-on-ice), own perspective — a skater's PP row is their team's power play while they are out there.

StrengthTOI/gmxGFxGAxGF%xGF/60xGA/60GFGA
5v542.4 47.452.947.3% 2.392.675045
Power play4.2 15.71.690.7% 7.950.82181
Penalty kill5.8 1.221.05.4% 0.447.68217

Modeled saving

The decontaminated saving rating from the joint shooter/goalie fit: Justus Annunen's per-shot logit margin suppressing goals on attempts at their net, multi-season, time-decayed, positive = good — +0.04 (80th percentile, 4,106 shots informing it). Per-shot quality only: it says nothing about how many attempts a player generates or faces.

On-ice numbers pair the regular-season shot set with shift-chart membership; skaters and goalies under the display floors are fit but not shown. Ratings come from joint__baseline_xg__bbd50047 (as of 2026-06-14). Both are separate surfaces from the box-score xG model badged in the footer.